Derby della Madonnina for the Italian Super Cup
A football treat awaits us on January 18th , 2023 when Milan and Inter face each other in the Supercoppa Italiana final. At the King Fahd Stadium in Riyadh (Saudi Arabia). The Rossoneri go into the Milan derby as the Italian champions and the Nerazzurri as the enthroned cup winners . It will be a tight match as Milan are currently second and Inter fourth in Serie A. Inter are the defending champions, with Milan being the second most successful Super Cup winners behind Juve. The Nerazzurri won the Super Cup third most times.
Are you new to our Betandyou blog? Well, check out our promotions!
Milan analysis
The Rossoneri have already beaten the Nerazzurri once this season. Strictly speaking, the Rossoneri have been without a win for 3 competitive games. They suffered 2 draws and 1 defeat, losing only after extra time in the Coppa Italia against Torino FC. However, in regulation time they have remained undefeated in their last 8 competitive games (4 wins and 4 draws). In Serie A they have only suffered one defeat in front of their home crowd and one away. They took 1 draw at San Siro and 4 away from home.
They won 7 games at home and 4 away. They finished 35 times and conceded a total of 20 goals. Milan's game program is tight, because on February 14th, 2023 they will meet Tottenham in the round of 16 of the Champions League.
Milan have been in the Supercoppa final 11 times. They could win this 7 times. In 2016/17 they decided this for the last time. They were in the final for the last time in 2018/19. They lost 1-0 to Juventus.
The Rossoneri have 4 players out through injury and 2 uncertain to play. Defenders Fodé Ballo-Touré and Alessandro Florenzi, as well as center forward Zlatan Ibrahimovic and first-choice goalkeeper Mike Maignan, are likely to be absent. The use of midfielder Rade Krunic and attacker Ante Rebic is questionable.
Rafael Leão is Milan's top scorer with 8 goals. In Serie A, this makes him the fifth-best goalscorer in the league. The 23-year-old left winger also dished out the most assists. Olivier Giroud has the second most goals and assists with 5 goals and 4 assists.
Stefano Pioli has been under contract with Milan as a coach since October 9th, 2019. In 161 games with the Rossoneri, he averaged 1.97 points. As a Milan coach, the 57-year-old faced Inter Milan nine times. He managed 3 wins and 2 draws and had to admit defeat 4 times. The record against Simone Inzaghi as Inter coach is positive. 2 wins and 2 draws and only 1 loss.
Inter analysis
Inter Milan have recorded 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 competitive games . They were able to turn a draw into a win after extra time, namely the Coppa Italia game against Parma Calcio. In Serie A, Inter Milan lost 5 times - 1 home and 4 away. They drew 1 abroad. They won 4 games abroad and 8 in front of a home crowd. In total, they marked 38 hits and allowed 24 goals.
The home goal score is 21-4 and the away goal score is 17-20. Home field advantage doesn't count in this game, as it is known to be played at a neutral venue. Accordingly, the away strength would actually be interesting for a betting tip. Abroad, Milan is the fifth best and Inter the seventh best team. For the Nerazzurri, too, the game program is becoming tighter again. On February 22nd they will face Porto in the round of 16 of the Champions League .
Inter took part in the Supercoppa final 10 times. They could win this 6 times. 2021/22 for the last time, which is why they are the defending champions. At that time, however, it was played in their own stadium . They won 2-1 after extra time against Juventus Turin. In 2011/12 they were in the final for the penultimate time. This was played at a neutral venue. Their city rivals Milan won this 2-1.
Lautaro Martínez has scored the most goals at Inter Milan so far with 9 goals. This makes him the second-best goalscorer in the league. In the Nerazzurri he shared the second most assists behind Nicolò Barella. Edin Dzeko scored the second most at Inter Milan with 7 goals.
In the Supercoppa final, Inter will probably have to do without midfielder Marcelo Brozovic , defender Dalbert and center forward Romelu Lukaku , as well as regular keeper Samir Handanovic due to injury. André Onana will therefore be in goal, having already saved 17 goals and kept them completely clean 7 times. The 26-year-old only allowed 19 goals.
On June 3rd, 2021, Lazio Roma legend Simone Inzaghi was signed as a trainer at Inter Milan. In 77 games under his leadership, Inter managed 2.12 PPG . He has met Milan five times as Inter Milan coach. Pioli was already the Rossoneri coach in these 5 games. Inzaghi won only 1 game and only managed 2 draws. So he lost twice.
Milan - Inter: What to expect?
The two teams have faced each other 199 times so far. Milan won 63 games and Inter 75. They shared the points 61 times. The two clubs have already met twice on neutral ground. Milan won both games. In the past 10 direct duels, the Rossoneri have celebrated 3 and the Nerazzurri 5 victories. They drew twice. Milan scored 11 and Inter 19 goals.
In 14 of Milan's 18 matches and in 11 of 18 at Inter Milan, goals were scored from both teams. This was also the case in the past 10 direct duels. We would therefore recommend a both teams to score bet. Also we could expect an Over 2.5 goals. We trust Milan to win a little more. Without such a draw no bet tip 1 or a double chance 1/X bet.
- Both teams to score
- Over 2.5
- Milan to win the title
- 1X double chance
* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change.