Futbol
2023-06-01 20:43:00

Hamburg in another drama

What a drama for Hamburger SV! Although the Rothosen narrowly won in Sandhausen. But because 1. FC Heidenheim in Regensburg still turned the game around in injury time, HSV now has to continue fighting for promotion in the relegation. The first leg will take place on Thursday in Stuttgart. 

VfB Stuttgart finished the 2022/23 season in the 1st Bundesliga third from bottom with 33 points. One point was missing against FC Augsburg, two against VfL Bochum, to then secure the class with a significantly better goal difference. The Swabians lost a large number of points because they were the team with the most draws in the Bundesliga. VfB drew twelve times, the most of all 18 clubs. The form curve is still correct in this forecast: because Stuttgart have only lost one of the last eight league games.

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VfB Stuttgart has four home games without defeat

If we focus a little more on the Swabians' home record in search of the best odds, the Stuttgart team has not lost in at least four games in the Mercedes Benz Arena. A 3-3 win over Borussia Dortmund was followed by a 2-1 win over Gladbach. After that there was only a 1-1 draw twice in a row – first against Leverkusen, then on matchday 34 against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. That was not enough for direct relegation. In the last eleven matches, there have only been more than three goals once. This is also a statistic that we determined in this tip.

In the only two meetings in league two, both clubs won their home games. Stuttgart won 3-2 despite being 2-0 down at the break. In Hamburg, the Rothosen clearly won 6-2 in the 2019/20 season. Before that, both clubs played 104 matches in the first division, of which VfB won 27 times in 52 home games. There were also eleven draws in the Ländle. In addition, there are 14 away wins for Hamburger SV. At home, the Swabians are unbeaten in five league games in a row against HSV. And both clubs have scored seven times in a row in this pairing.

Hamburg with strong away performances

And how is the analysis at HSV? Also quite positive. Because the Rothosen have not lost their last four games in the 2nd Bundesliga and got ten out of twelve possible points. With the exception of the last encounter, both teams always scored in the five previous matches when the North Germans were on the ball. With 70 goals, Hamburger SV also has the best offensive in the second division and, together with Darmstadt 98, won the most games (20 out of 34). When looking for a suitable betting tip, these are not the worst values ​​to bet against HSV.

Especially since the away balance speaks very much for the red pants. Because the Hanseatic team is the best away team in the 2nd Bundesliga. Nine wins and three draws results for HSV in away stadiums, where they only lost five times. Again, 32 goals scored means the best attack series, this time in guest games. However, you should be warned about this forecast: The Rothosen won the last two matches in Regensburg (5-1) and Sandhausen (1-0). Before that, however, they were six times in a row without a three-pointer away from home (three draws, three defeats).

Stuttgart - Hamburg: What to expect? 

In our betting tip analysis, the goal bet Both Teams To Score definitely emerges as a constant. In the last Stuttgart games as well as in the past direct clashes, this tip has worked for many games in a row. Tendency also in the Hamburg matches. With a look at both balance sheets, strong odds are possible because it smells very much like a draw X here. The Swabians drew most often in the league and have not lost in five home games against Hamburg, but HSV is the best away team in the second division.

  • Draw (risk)
  • Both Teams To Score

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change. 

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