Piłka nożna
2023-01-11 20:31:00

Barca has eyes on the Super Cup

In the 2nd semi-final of the Supercopa de Espana, Betis Sevilla challenges FC Barcelona. The odds are on the side of the Catalans, the direct comparison also speaks for the favorite. The winner of this match meets the winner of Real Madrid vs. Valencia in the Spanish Super Cup final. 

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Real Betis analysis

Betis made it to the Supercopa de Espana for only the second time. 17 years ago, the Andalusians lost the final against Barca of all places. Also this time the Verdiblancos are in the role of the underdogs. 
Betis Sevilla are having a very good season and are in good shape at the moment. The Verdiblancos have recorded 8 wins and 4 draws from 4 defeats in their first 16 league games in La Liga, putting them fourth in the table. The gap to leaders Barca is already 13 points, but the Andalusians could make it into the international ranks. Coach Manuel Pellegrini's side have been undefeated in their last 3 competitive games and won the last two games. 

Real Betis have already lost 2-1 to both Real and Atletico Madrid this season. In the last 3 competitive games, the Heliopolitanos only conceded 1 goal . The southern Spaniards made a goalless home draw against Bilbao after the World Cup restart and were able to fulfill their duty at Ibiza in the cup. At the weekend, the Beticos prevailed 2-1 at Vallecano.
Real Betis Balompié is the natural outsider against Barca, if only based on the H2H comparison. In 123 duels, the Verdiblancos suffered 74 bankruptcies. This season, however, the Pellegrini team is a tough nut to crack, the Andalusians have only been behind once in the league this season after 45 minutes– with 6 intermission tours. According to our prediction, Betis will give big favorites Barca a hard time, especially in the 1st half.

Barcelona analysis

The Catalans are the benchmark in Spanish football this season. Coach Xavi's team won the top game at Atletico 1-0 at the weekend and thus shrugged off pursuers Real Madrid by 3 points. The 27th championship title beckons, the first in 4 years. Barca are unbeaten in their last 7 competitive matches and their last 5 league games.

Barcelona have recorded 16 wins and just 4 losses in their first 23 games of the season in all competitions. In the last 10 matches, FCB was only beaten once . The Blaugrana scored 51 goals and conceded 21. In 16 league games, FC Barcelona have only conceded 6 goals, in return they have scored at least twice in 4 of their last 6 competitive games.

The Catalans have lost 5 of their last 7 Supercopa games. Coach Xavi is therefore hoping for the return of his goal-getter Robert Lewandowski. If the 34-year-old has scored this season, Barca are undefeated with 10 wins and 1 draw. The Catalans are also hoping for a quick start against Betis, having led in 9 of their 16 league games after 45 minutes and only twice behind. The first goal was achieved in 6 of the last 7 games.

Robert Lewandowski is currently doomed to watch in LaLiga. A yellow-red card in the last league game before the World Cup forces the Poles to take a 2-week break. However, the ban does not apply to the Supercup, so we expect Lewandowski to be motivated in the starting line-up. The 34-year-old has provided 13 goals from 4 assists in his first 15 league games for Barca. Poland reached the round of 16 at the 2022 World Cup. Lewa contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 3 games. Ferran Torres, who is suspended in the league, is also allowed to face Betis in the Supercopa semi-finals.

Real Betis - Barcelona: What to expect? 

FC Barcelona qualified for the Final Four of the Supercopa de Espana after finishing second in last season's championship. The Blaugrana are the record holders with 13 titles but are not the top favorites this season . However, the betting odds offered by the bookies for Barca's Supercup win are attractive - 2.45 in contrast to the 1.85 of the top favorite Real Madrid. In the last 4 years, the FCB won "just" 1 Supercup title, and was eliminated twice in the semi-finals.

Barca have won 8 of the last 10 direct duels, Betis only managed 2 successes. The away team prevailed in the last 3 clashes. From the last 4 cup games both clubs got 2 successes. Betis beat Barca away in the second leg of the Supercopa final in 2005. After the 0:3 at home that was not enough. In the coach duel it is 1:1 . Betis coach Pellegrini only got 5 wins and 4 draws in 21 defeats from the first 30 matches with FCB.

Since at least 5 goals were scored in 7 of the last 9 direct duels, we recommend you to bet on more than 3.5 goals in the 90 minutes. A somewhat safe bet is Barca's victory. Therefore, according to our analysis, the match combo with victory FC Barcelona and goals from both teams is a good choice.

 

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change. 
 

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