The crying game

On paper, this game should already have been decided for the Blues, because they have all won the last 11 direct duels against the Eagles. However, their performance curve is pointing downwards, although Crystal Palace is currently not on a real run either.

The fact that their home record is positive, speaks for Chelsea, while Crystal Palace have rarely been able to score away from home. It is certain that both are under pressure if they don't want to miss the connection to the top third of the table. It won't be easy for the Blues as they are struggling with injury concerns. In addition, her trainer Graham Potter is already counted among the fans. We think Crystal Palace was quoted too high as things aren't going well at Chelsea at the moment.

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Chelsea analysis

Chelsea suffered their third consecutive defeat in their most recent competitive game, from Fulham with 2-1. They have been without a win for 4 games. They were also only able to win 2 of the last 5 competitive home games and ensure a draw. In total they won 4 games in front of their home crowd and suffered 2 draws and 2 defeats. They scored 12 times and allowed 7 goals.  

Chelsea is still competing in the Champions League. On February 15, 2023 they will meet Borussia Dortmund in the round of 16. As already mentioned, they were eliminated in the 3rd round of the FA Cup. They were also eliminated in Round 3 of the EFL Cup. In both competitions they lost to Manchester City.

The Blues completed a somewhat tighter schedule than the Eagles, because on January 12th, 2023 they met Fulham, 4 days after their FA Cup match against Man. City. They will have played 4 competitive games within 14 days with this game included. That's a game every 3.5 days. Crystal Palace played one game less. 

8 players are currently listed as injured at Chelsea. Among them are, for example, the strong offensive players Raheem Sterling, Christian Pulisic and, as before, the center forward Armando Broja . Also missing is their regular keeper Edouard Mendy or defenders Wesley Fofane, Reece James and Ben Chilwell. In addition, the defensive midfielder N'Golo Kantè will not be available again until February 20th, 2023. In fact, Chelsea have not won since the absence of Sterling, Pulisic and Mendy, with one game remaining.

On September 8th, 2022, Potter followed in the footsteps of Thomas Tuchel. The 47-year-old has an average coaching success rate of 1.54 PPG and has a negative record against Crystal Palace with 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses. As a Chelsea coach, he has met the Eagles once and won that game. Accordingly, as a Blues coach he also celebrated the only win against Patrick Vieira so far, although he is still undefeated against the Eagles coach. The Blues have played 19 games under his leadership so far. 8 wins and 4 draws were possible. They lost 7 times. 23-21 is the goal balance. In the last 10 games, however, they only managed 3 wins and 1 draw. Sometimes a reason why the fans loudly demand Tuchel back.

Crystal Palace analysis

The Eagles played their last competitive game on January 7th, 2023 and were therefore able to prepare for this game a little longer. In their most recent encounter, they suffered their 2nd defeat in a row. In general, they only won 1 of the last 5 competitive games and were beaten 4 times. But they remained unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 away games counting 2 wins and 1 draw. However, they lost in the penalty shoot-out to Newcastle in the EFL Cup. In the Premier League, Crystal Palace have only won 2 away games and drawn 3 times. They lost 3 times. 

Unlike the Blues, Crystal Palace will probably only be without central defender Nathan Ferguson through injury. Nonetheless coach Patrick Vieira has lost all his games against Chelsea and is still without a win due to 2 draws and 1 loss against Graham Potter.

Chelsea - Crystal Palace: What to expect? 

Both teams have faced each other 58 times so far. 32 wins for Chelsea and 11 for Crystal Palace. They shared the points 15 times. At Stamford Bridge, the Eagles have won just 4 games and the Blues 15. They drew 8 times. In the past 10 direct duels, Chelsea won every game. They scored 25 times and the Eagles only 5. 

According to the analysis, we expect Chelsea to win. Due to Crystal Palace's weak away offensive and Chelsea's strong defense, we suspect that both teams will not score and would therefore place a Chelsea win to nil bet as well. We have our doubts about how many goals will be scored. We expect an Under 2.5 goals. Since the Blues often decided their matches in the 2nd half at Stamford Bridge, we would also add a Chelsea to win 2nd Half to our betting slip.

• Chelsea to win at odds of 1.67
• Under 2.5 at odds of 1.86
• Chelsea to win to nil at odds of 2.57
• Chelsea to win 2nd half at odds of 2.00
• X/1 Half time/Full time result at odds of 4.30

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change.