축구
2023-07-28 13:12:00

The 2.Bundesliga season starts with a derby

Will Hamburger SV finally make it back to the top flight of German football? And will FC Schalke 04 manage to get promoted again immediately? These are two of the most important questions that concern all fans before the start of the 2023/24 Bundesliga 2 season. The season will open with this duel on Friday evening in the Volksparkstadion. 

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Hamburg form

Hamburger SV had to give way to 1. FC Heidenheim and SV Darmstadt 98 in the 2022/23 season. The Rothosen won 20 of their 34 matches, but ultimately suffered eight defeats - one too many for direct promotion. In the relegation there was a clear rebuff against VfB Stuttgart first away (0-3), but then also at home (1-3). And the large number of goals conceded also continued in the preparation. Even in the 3-2 win against the lower-class team from Verden. It was enough against FK Viktoria Pilsen to 3-3, against the Austrian representative RB Salzburg the Rothosen clearly lost 1-4.

If we exclude the friendlies and the missed promotion within the relegation, it is certainly still interesting in this analysis to take a look at the past season 22/23, in which HSV ended with three wins. Apart from the 1-0 win in Sandhausen on Matchday 34, the game was always full of goals. Because in the five previous games, there were always at least three goals in a row. In addition, both teams have always scored goals. At a longer distance, in the last twelve league games, nine of them ended with an over 2.5. But even seven already with over 3.5 goals. And something else is important for your betting tip: HSV has not lost a game in ten home games (eight wins). In eleven matches at home, three or more goals were scored ten times.

Schalke form

FC Schalke 04 came not to stay. At the end of the 2022/23 season, the promoted team also had to be relegated from the 1st Bundesliga. The Royal Blues were penultimate with seven wins, ten draws and thus lost half of all games (17). S04 was particularly weak in defence and conceded 71 goals. Only VfL Bochum (72) was a little more vulnerable defensively. This is another important indicator for a suitable forecast. In the preparation not everything went smoothly, which shows a 2-2 at 1. FC Bocholt. Schalke lost 2-0 to Danish champions FC Copenhagen. But Poland's representative Gornik Zabrze was again clearly defeated 5-0.

In the 17 away games of the 1st Bundesliga, the Knappen managed only two away wins. The Gelsenkircheners were also unlucky with the game plan because the last two guest appearances were at FC Bayern Munich (0-6) and at RB Leipzig (2-4). Before that, Schalke had also lost 4-0 at SC Freiburg, but then clutched at the last straw and won 3-2 at 1. FSV Mainz 05. 
Why do we point out these results so clearly? Because they definitely base the tip on a goal bet over in this prediction. What the offensive performance does less away. S04 scored only twelve goals in 17 games, no other club was more harmless.

Hamburg - Schalke: What to expect? 

In the two previous direct duels in the 2nd division, HSV has not yet lost against Gelsenkirchen. Both clubs also opened the season in 2021/22, but at that time at Schalke. There, Hamburg prevailed 3-1. The second leg in Volkspark ended 1-1. The last comparison in the 1st Bundesliga ended with a 3-2 victory for the Rothosen in the Volkspark. There, the Hanseatic League have already won 25 of 50 games in the first division and drawn 13 more times. Meanwhile, Schalke 04 only won twelve times on the Elbe.

In our analysis, we used numerous statistics to determine that Hamburger SV have a very good chance of winning this opening game. The home series of the Rothosen speaks for a home win , but also Schalke's away weakness in the past season. Also interesting as a betting tip with even better odds: Over 3.5 goals . Because both at the start of the 21/22 season at Schalke and in general in the last games of Hamburg at home and Schalke away, four or more goals were often scored. We can therefore recommend this bet to you with a clear conscience, despite the higher risks.

  • Over 3.5
  • Hamburg to win

* All odds and markets are correct at the time of publication and subject to change. 

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