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2023-05-02 09:22:00

The North London Derby

The notorious North London derby between Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC is without a doubt the top game of the 34th match day of the English Premier League. The signs could hardly be more different for the two teams. As always, we provide you with the most important numbers, dates and facts for your successful betting tip.

In the 2022/23 season, it seemed that Arsenal could finally banish the ghosts of the 2003/04 season. Namely those ghosts that brought the “Gunners” the last championship title. For a long time they were at the top of the Premier League, but this has changed a few days ago. Manchester City have taken the lead, not least thanks to a 4-1 win in a head-to-head duel in which Mikel Arteta's men didn't have much to oppose the "Skyblues. 

The fact that local rivals Chelsea are now waiting may be good on the one hand, as there is a chance of making amends, but the "blues" for Arsenal in their current condition are probably a tough nut to crack.

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Arsenal can blame their poor defense

The big problem child of the Heimelf in the last few weeks, almost months, has been the defensive. Arsenal have conceded at least one goal in their last 6 league games and at least two in their last four. For your betting tips, this means that conceding at least one goal can be quite lucrative. Because: Even against teams that are weaker in the table like West Ham or Southampton, Aaron Ramsdale & Co recently conceded two or more goals. 

On the other hand, with the exception of City's bankruptcy, Arsenal were able to rely on their offensive powers. The last 11 games involving the Gunners always meant a goal from the same team, and in 7 of the last 8 matches it was even enough for more than one goal.

This fact is also underlined by the home statistics of the Arteta protégés: Arsenal have scored no fewer than 45 goals in 16 home games so far, an average of just over three goals per match at the Emirates Stadium. 
The only defeat in front of a home crowd was against Manchester City at the end of February, with which Chelsea can in no way be compared at the moment. With an average of more than one goal conceded per home game, a betting tip that both teams record at least one sense of achievement seems absolutely promising. Also because Arsenal – again after Manchester City – is the best home team in the league.

Chelsea still a shadow of themselves

If you put the current statistics of the two opponents on top of or next to each other, Chelsea is still the underdog despite a current small crisis at Arsenal. Because the "Blues" can only dream of similar table regions as the opponent is currently playing. Chelsea are in 12th place in the table, so international business is out of reach, as they have already had to give up in the EFL and FA Cups, not to mention the Champions League. In addition, the former Champions League winner has now been waiting 5 games in the league for a complete success.

If you take a look at the away balance, which should be relevant for the upcoming duel and the corresponding betting tips, success for the guests is more or less impossible. Chelsea have been waiting for a complete success abroad for about three weeks. In total, only four of these were celebrated in the current season. All against teams from the bottom half of the table, namely Crystal Palace, Everton, Leicester and Aston Villa. Chelsea were only able to score 13 goals away from home, so it cannot be assumed that the guests will ignite an offensive firework display next Tuesday.

Even the direct duel doesn't really improve Chelsea's record against Arsenal in the recent past. Because: Only one of the past 6 direct duels could win the eleven currently supervised by Frank Lampard. Instead, there were five defeats. Chelsea didn't have much to gain against the title contenders this season either, instead suffering a 1-0 defeat in front of their home crowd. An advantage for Chelsea: In terms of personnel, Coach Lampard can almost draw on the full. 

Only Broja and Koulibaly should not be available injured, with the former at best a squad supplement. The 2-0 defeat against FC Brentford on the previous day showed that he could still be put to good use. Likewise the fact that with Havertz a midfielder is currently leading the scorer list of the big club. Incidentally, there is not a single trained striker in the top five of this ranking. An indication that Chelsea will not be able to celebrate too many goals on Tuesday either.

Arsenal - Chelsea: What to expect? 

Despite the earnings crisis, Arsenal are currently in a better position than their local rivals. Accordingly, a bet tip on a home win, which provides a quite respectable rate, is one of our favorites. As an alternative, a bet tip on at least one goal for both teams seems advisable, this assumption is mainly based on the last extremely vulnerable line of defense of the home side.

  • Arsenal to win
  • Both Teams To Score

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change. 
 

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