FA cup replay for Liverpool and Wolves
Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool FC is not in good shape at the moment and now has to sit in detention in the FA Cup during the week. The Reds were held to a 2-2 home draw by Wolverhampton Wanderers last week and now have to play away.
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Wolves analysis
Former Spain coach Julen Lopetegui has been in charge of Wolverhampton Wanderers since December. Since then, the Wolves, who are in serious danger of relegation, have won 3 wins and 2 draws with 2 defeats in 7 competitive games. In 4 Premier League games there were even 2 successes and only 1 defeat. As a result, the West Midlands club have worked their way up from the relegation zone to 16th in the league and now have a 2-point lead over the red zone.
The Wanderers have remained undefeated in the last 4 competitive games in regular time with 3 draws. Against Nottingham in the League Cup, Wolverhampton were beaten on penalties after a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes. The Wolves have been disciplined in recent weeks - in 4 of the last 5 matches the referees awarded fewer than 2.5 goals. In 8 of the last 10 competitive games, a total of under 10.5 corners were awarded.
Wolves have recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 home appearances. In the last 3 home games, the Lopetegui team only conceded 1 goal. In the last 5 meetings in Wolverhampton, both teams could not score, while 3 times less than 1.5 goals were scored. In the last 7 league games, the Wanderers were not behind after 45 minutes, but they had to give up the 2nd round in 4 of the last 6 matches.
Wolves have only progressed past the 5th round of the FA Cup once in the past 25 years - in 2019 they reached the semi-finals where they were defeated by another surprise team, Watford. In the pre-season in the 4th round of the cup against Norwich ended. In the last 11 years Wolverhampton have been eliminated before the 4th round on 7 occasions. So Wolves are anything but cup specialists. In the League Cup, Wanderers lost on penalties in the quarter-finals to Premier League promoted Nottingham.
Liverpool analysis
Liverpool is currently at rock bottom. That's how coach Jürgen Klopp puts it. The Reds suffered a painful 3-0 defeat in Brighton at the weekend and didn't stand a chance. So it will be difficult to defend the title in the FA Cup , even if the guests of the Wolves vs. Liverpool forecast go into the decider as favorites. At the moment it's hard to imagine Liverpool wanting to win after 3 competitive games (D1, L2) over 90 minutes.
The LFC slipped down to 9th position in the table, the international starting places are already 5 points away, the Champions League places are even points away. It is quite possible that Klopp would rather concentrate on the league and neglect the FA Cup . Therefore, one or the other reserve player can be expected in the starting eleven. Liverpool have conceded goals in the last 9 competitive games, in 5 of the last 6 it was even the 1st goal of the game.
Klopp's side lost their last two away games, in Brentford and Brighton. In 3 of the last 4 guest appearances, the Reds conceded 3 goals and thus had to accept a total of 10 goals in these 4 games abroad. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in their last 6 away games and over 3.5 in 3 of the last 4.
The FA Cup and Jürgen Klopp, that wasn't a love affair for a long time. In the first 5 years, the end came in the 5th round at the latest, 1x the Reds were even eliminated in the 3rd round. In the previous season, however, Liverpool was able to win the title , it was the 8th cup win in the club's history, the first in 16 years.
There is a threat of the 1st cup-off in the 3rd round for 4 years . The LFC has not been an outspoken FA Cup specialist in recent years. In the past 11 years there have only been 2 finals. This season, the online bookmakers believe in defending the title with odds of 8.00, which is the 3rd highest value.
Wolves - Liverpool: What to expect?
Liverpool haven't lost to Wolverhampton in 4 years, with the Reds winning 7 and drawing 1. The Wolves forced a draw for the first time last week. The Wanderers have only won once in 10 home games in the past 42 years. In the first leg of the FA Cup, both halves of the game ended in a draw. Liverpool have prevailed in 6 of the last 7 away duels, most recently 3 times in a row.
The Reds also didn't concede a goal in the last two guest appearances . In the first 3 matches in the FA Cup, which took place in the past years, had tothe Wolves with 2 wins have not yet bowed to the Reds. In 5 of the last 8 direct duels, Liverpool kept a clean sheet at the back and were therefore unable to score with both teams. Also in 6 of the last 8 matches in Wolverhampton the Reds did not allow.
After our detailed analysis, we are betting on goals from both teams. This could result in well over 3.5 goals in the regular 90 minutes. We also believe that the Wolves will take the Reds out of the competition. We therefore also recommend the double chance 1/X in favor of the hosts.
- Wolves to win or X
- Over 3.5
- Both teams to score
* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change.