The old lady is a guest in Cologne – and cursed to win

Coach Pal Dardai had humorously announced four wins. His team delivered the first one last weekend. In today's betting tip, we will use a detailed forecast to discuss whether Hertha BSC will follow suit and get three more important points in the relegation battle.

FC Koln extended the contract with coach Steffen Baumgart during the week with a handshake. Appropriate for relegation, which the billy goats wrapped up prematurely on the last day of the game. But what also means for your tip: It should be taken into account that for the people of Koln since the team avoided relegation, have nothing to worry. At best, it's about displacing the unloved arch-rival Borussia Monchengladbach from tenth place. Because the FC is only one point behind in eleventh place.

Things are very different for Hertha BSC. Not to say: still precarious. The capitals travel to the Rhine as bottom of the Bundesliga table. They are three points short of the penultimate VfL Bochum and third-bottom VfB Stuttgart. Schalke, the first team across the line, is already five points away. If things go badly for the Berliners and S04 wins, while Hertha should not get more than a draw at most, then direct relegation would no longer be possible.

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Homemade crisis in Cologne's Rhein Energie Stadium

Although the balance sheet of FC Koln reads very well overall, that in no way means that we can blindly recommend odds for a home win in these forecasts. Rather the opposite is the case. The billy goats have put their fans to the test in the Rhein Energie Stadium and haven't won in five games. Against Gladbach (0-0) and Mainz (1-1) there was still a draw. In addition to the aforementioned game against SC Freiburg, the Domstadt team also suffered a 2-0 defeat against VfL Wolfsburg and VfL Bochum. That's why, in our opinion, Hertha BSC can certainly calculate something there.

How good is Hertha BSC in form at the moment?

For Hertha BSC, a completely black series ended on matchday 31 in the Bundesliga. The Berliners had not won eight times in a row since beating FC Augsburg 2-0. With a 2-1 win over VfB Stuttgart, they finally turned the tide. They also showed at FC Bayern that the capitals can be expected on a better day. In Munich it was 0-0 for a long time. It was only in the 69th minute that Serge Gnabry broke the knot against Hertha.

Apart from the fact that the old lady is still the weakest team in the second half of the season with just eleven points, Hertha BSC doesn't exactly have the best arguments in this betting tip. Because Pal Dardai's team is also currently last in the away table. There was only one win and two draws. The 1-1 draw at SC Freiburg in the penultimate guest appearance at least gives some hope for the game in Cologne. The capital city conceded twelve defeats in foreign stadiums. Otherwise only Bochum was that bad. Ten of the last eleven games away from home have been lost.

Koln - Hertha Berlin: What to expect? 

In one statistic, the hosts are currently in the top league. FC Köln have drawn eleven times so far. More often than any other team in the upper house of German football. And the atmosphere in the cathedral city could not be more splendid at the moment. Because they stayed up in the Rheinderby at Bayer Leverkusen (2-1). That is doubly remarkable. On the one hand, Cologne stopped the outstanding run of Leverkusen, who lost for the first time after 14 games in the Bundesliga and Europa League. The FC themselves suffered only one defeat in the last six league games (0-1 against Freiburg).

FC Koln have only scored 13 goals in their 14 matches in the second half of the season. That's notable in this analysis, as it means the fewest hits of any 18 teams over that period. This becomes particularly clear in the home games: Cologne only celebrated once in the last five matches in front of their own fans. All of these encounters ended with a maximum of two goals. Two of the last three guest appearances in Berlin also ended with no more than two goals, so that an under is unavoidable in goal betting.

• Draw (risk)
• Under 2.5

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change.