Jalkapallo
2023-01-27 19:33:00

Time for some proof for Borussia Dortmund

At the end of the 187th matchday of the Bundesliga there is a derby between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund . The betting odds are very balanced - the direct comparison goes to BVB. However, Leverkusen are currently on a winning streak, which we predict will not make it easy for Dortmund to win there.

BVB finished the first half of the Bundesliga in 5th place, Leverkusen in 8th place. Neither club can be satisfied with the autumn run, but the Werkself are at least catching up. Dortmund are currently level on points with Frankfurt , who occupy the last Champions League qualification rank.

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Bayer Leverkusen analysis

Bayer Leverkusen is currently one of the teams in the Bundesliga. Since Xabi Alonso took over the Werkself in October, only 3 clubs have scored more points. The start under the Spaniard was anything but promising with only 1 win from the first 7 competitive games. However, the Rhinelanders were able to win the last 5 Bundesliga games and thus climbed up the table. In the new year, Bayer defeated in Mönchengladbach and at home against Bochum and is now also dangerous for BVB.

Leverkusen have not yet lost a home game under Alonso in the Bundesliga - in the first 5 home games there were 4 wins, the last 3 home appearances were won. The Werkself have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 in their first 9 home games and climbed up to 9th place in the home table. Bayer scored 19 goals and conceded 11 in 9 home games. In the last 5 league games and in the most recent 5 home games, coach Xabi Alonso's team have scored at least twice . That could also work against the holey BVB defense.

Bayer have scored in their last 7 home games in the Bundesliga and have kept the net clean in the last 3 games at home. In the last 10 Bundesliga games involving Leverkusen, there were 7 more than 2.5 goals and 4 more than 3.5 goals. In the last two encounters at home, however, there were under 2.5 hits. In the last 3 league games, the Werkself were already in the lead at the break 

Borussia Dortmund analysis

BVB started the new year well with 2 wins. Edin Terzic's team won against Augsburg at home and in Mainz during the week, but only scored the winning goal after the 75th minute. In both cases, "Joker" Giovanni Reyna saved Borussia . Those were wins 9 and 10 of the season after 17 league games with 1 draw and 6 defeats. With that, the Westphalians moved closer to the Champions League places and now have to keep a direct opponent at bay in Leverkusen.

Dortmund lost 2 of the last 3 away games in the Bundesliga - in Wolfsburg and in Mönchengladbach. The away win during the week was the 4th success away from home this season after 5 away bankruptcies in the Bundesliga. There have not been any away draws for BVB this season. The Black and Yellows are ranked 8th in the away table. In 9 guest appearances, Borussia scored 12 goals and conceded 17 goals. BVB had to concede goals in 8 of the 9 away games and remained goalless in 3 guest games.

The black and yellow scored 8 goals in the last 3 Bundesliga games. In 8 of the past 10 matches, the Terzic team scored over 1.5 goals 8 times and remained goalless twice. In more than half of the away games, double goals are also achieved, in 3 it was even more than 2.5. Dortmund have also had to concede goals in the last 7 away games and have only kept a clean sheet twice in the last 10 league games. This means that goals on both sides and a high-scoring game can be predicted for Leverkusen vs. Dortmund.

Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund: What to expect? 

BVB won 7 of the last 10 direct duels, while Leverkusen only won 3 times. Dortmund could also win 3 of the last 4 encounters . The Werkself may have won 2 of their last 3 home duels, but Dortmund won their last away game at the BayArena.

For Xabi Alonso, who has been a Bayer coach since October , this is the first encounter as a coach with BVB and Edin Terzic. From his first 3 duels with Leverkusen, the Dortmund coach has won 2 and lost 1.

We recommend a bet on goals from both teams. So we're expecting a scoring game - as has always been the case between these two clubs in the recent past. Even with Over 2.5 goals, you can still get decent odds, but we prefer the Over 3.5 option. Leverkusen to score the first goal of the game and to win the first half is also an interesting and risky bet. After the break, BVB could equalize, so another option is the 1X double chance.

 

  • Both teams to score
  • Over 3.5 goals
  • Bayer Leverkusen to win 1st Half
  • 1X double chance

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change. 
 

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