Fútbol
2023-02-17 14:53:00

Bayern visit their biggest feared opponent

Bayern have to travel to their feared opponents in Gladbach on matchday 21. It's an extremely important game for the guests, because if they don't win, they could lose the lead in the table. Gladbach, on the other hand, has to try to keep up with the international places. In this game they are of course the underdogs, but can they produce a surprise?

On paper, this game seems a no-brainer as Bayern are top of the table with 43 points and Gladbach are currently only 10th. However, the foals are something like Bayern's feared opponents. In the last 4 duels they remained unbeaten against the record champions. They have won 3 of the last 4 home games against Bayern. In general, Gladbach is one of the best home teams in the league this year. 

With Bayern, the best away team in the Bundesliga is also traveling. After a weak start to 2023, they have recently been able to win 2 games in a row. They also won their round of 16 match against Paris during the week. The Bavarians are still undefeated in 2023

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Borussia Monchengladbach analysis

It's been 3 years since Gladbach achieved a strong 4th place in the Bundesliga and thus qualified for the UEFA Champions League. Since then they have been waiting to qualify again for Europe. In the last two years it was only enough for places 8 and 10 in the Bundesliga. Adi Hütter was released last year because of this placement. 

The goal of the new coach Daniel Farke is clearly an international starting place. So far, however, they have not shown consistently good performances, which is why they are only in 10th place in the table after 20 matchdays.4 points currently separate them from 7th place in the table. So they are already under a bit of pressure, because the distance to the international starting places shouldn't be too big.

A weak point in this season is identified relatively quickly, because Gladbach simply concede too many goals for a team that is fighting for international starting places. In 20 games they had to get the ball out of the net 33 times. Only Werder Bremen have conceded more goals in the top half of the table. Overall, there are only 7 teams that have allowed more goals. This weakness could hardly be improved over the winter. In the previous 5 games in 2023, they had to concede 9 goals again.Only in the 0-0 draw against Schalke did they manage to keep a clean sheet. On the last day of the game, however, they had to admit defeat to Hertha 4-1. In the entire season, the team remained only in 4 games without conceding a goal.

An advantage for Gladbach will also be that they play the game against Bayern at home. In their own stadium, the team is doing a lot easier this year than away. They won 6 out of 7 seasons in front of their own audience. They collected a total of 19 out of 26 points in their own arena. This puts them in 7th place in the home table. In addition to the 6 wins, one game also ended in a draw. 3 home games have been lost so far. This was against Mainz, Frankfurt and Leverkusen. They suffered their last home defeat on January 22, 2023 against Leverkusen. The last home game ended 0-0 against Schalke, which means they haven't won at home in 2 games. At home they are primarily very strong offensively, they scored 22 goals in 10 games.Only in 2 home games did they miss to score.

Bayern Munich analysis

After initial difficulties, FC Bayern recovered somewhat in 2023 and recently celebrated 2 wins in a row in the Bundesliga. They also won the first leg of the UEFA Champions League round of 16 against Paris St. Germain. After 3 draws at the beginning of the year, the team is getting better and better and would like to win against Gladbach for the 4th time in a row. In addition, the team naturally wants to defend its lead in the standings. The first pursuer Union Berlin is only 2 points behind and could take over the top of the table with a win.BVB is also close to Bayern. The record champions cannot afford to slip up at the moment. Good thing they are unbeaten away from home in the league since September 17th.

In contrast to the opponent, FC Bayern Munich has the additional burden of the Champions League. They celebrated a win there, but it could be that coach Julian Nagelsmann rotates a bit again at the weekend. The squad is at least wide enough for other games to be used. In defence, it's difficult to change at the moment, after all, with Hernandez and Mazraoui, 2 important players are out, but Daley Blind, for example, could still be given a chance here. In midfield, Ryan Gravenberch pushes into the main formation.

Offensively, the coach is spoiled for choice anyway and, with the exception of Sadio Mane, has plenty to choose from. Bayern were able to score almost as many points away from home this year as they did at home in the Allianz Arena. With 21 points, they are also the strongest away team in the entire league.They only suffered one defeat in 10 home games. This was in the derby against FC Augsburg. They have won 6 out of 10 away games, including the last one against VfL Wolfsburg. They could win this game with 2-4. Bayern generally like to score away from home, because with 28 goals they are responsible for almost 3.00 goals per game on average. The next best offensive department has just 17 goals and thus more than 10 goals less on the account. 3 or more goals have been scored in 4 out of 10 away games. In addition, 10 goals against are also a good value. In 3 games they managed to remain without a goal.

Gladbach - Bayern Munich: What to expect? 

Gladbach is Bayern's biggest feared opponent. The last direct duels also speak for Gladbach. They haven't lost to Bayern in 4 games. They won 2 of those 4 games. The first duel of the season ended 1-1 in Munich. The last home game so far was played on October 27th, 2021 and ended with a 5-0 home win for Gladbach. 

Overall, the Gladbachers have been unbeaten for 4 home games. The last home defeat was in 2019 when they lost 5-1 on the 24th matchday. In the last 4 games, the Foals always managed to keep Bayern with only one goal at most. Despite this fact, we tend to have a high over/under bet in this game.10 of the last 10 duels ended with more than 2.5 goals.

Bayern are actually the clear favorites in this game, but Gladbach always knows how to convince in a duel against them. We would therefore rather advise against a win bet. The fact is: Bayern have the best offensive in the Bundesliga and Gladbach have great problems on the defensive. We would therefore recommend an over/under bet on over 3.5 goals. If you want to risk a little more, we would still recommend a double chance bet 1/X .

  • Double Chance 1X
  • Over 3.5

* All odds and markets are correct at time of publication and subject to change. 

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